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Economic Indicators



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Economy: Bill Gross, Balance Sheets, Inflation or Deflation, Nouriel Roubini, Recession vs. Job Losses

PIMCO’s July 2009 Investment Outlook, “‘Bon’ or ‘Non’ Appétit” by Bill Gross, is now available at PIMCO - Greed will come again. But for now, the trend is the other way and it promises to persist for a generation at a minimum. ———— Crisis Won’t End Until Balance Sheets Get Real: Jonathan Weil [...]

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Slovak PM sees 2009 fiscal gap around 6 pct GDP

BRATISLAVA, July 4 - Slovakia's public finance deficit will be around 6 percent of gross domestic product this year, three times as much as originally planned due to shrinking budget revenues, Prime Minister Robert Fico said on Saturday . Slovakia ...

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Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee considering expanding quantitative easing to £150bn

The Bank of England's Monetary Policy Committee could expand its quantitative easing QE programme from £125bn to £150bn or more on Thursday as it weighs up the prospects for economic recovery at its July meeting.

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Deflation vs. Inflation: The Great Debate Rages On

Marc Courtenay submits: As we celebrate the 4th of the July in the USA, we find ourselves at a tipping point that will impact our financial conditions and quality of life for many years to come. Most of you know, I don't create or sell any of my own trading services and I'm known for fiercely independent analysis. If I were selling a product or a service in the western world in the summer of 2009,...

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Now that's what I call "deflation!"

Retail/office building in Moreno Valley, the armpit of Southern California's Inland Empire.

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Gold Outperforms the US Dollar During Deflation

If Gold is not a safe haven, then pray tell me what is? If you say the U.S. Dollar, how about we look at some inconvenient facts that prove Gold is doing better than the U.S. Dollar during an actual fiat deflation?

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UK: GDP Growth - Economy contracts 2.4% in Q1 2009

GDP Growth - Economy contracts 2.4% in Q1 2009 Source: Office for National Statistics UK gross domestic product (GDP) in volume terms fell by 2.4 per cent compared with the previous quarter, revised down from last month’s estimate of 1.9 per cent. The level of GDP is now 4.9 per cent lower than the first quarter of [...]

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Deflation and the new social contract....

I suspect we are headed for long term deflation. The reason is the engine of demand, the individual, in all Western economies has been severely damaged (potentially irreparably since there are no mechanisms to extract them from their peril, in...

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What Is The GDP Impact of Social Media?

GDP by current measure will reflect only the value of the “dollar”, not necessarily the value of the human productivity. Perhaps it already does.

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Over January-May GDP of CIS countries decreased by 9 per cent

Over January-May the biggest growth (4,4 per cent) was recorded in Azerbaijan, Tajikistan and Belarus recorded 3.2 and 1.4 per cent of growth respectively.

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Summary of Inflation and Deflation the United States

Gold has maintained. But so far, gold stocks have done poorly and the credit crisis continues taking its effect on the stock market. Silver has not kept up with gold, but has fared better than any of the base metals, thus acting, in my view, as ...

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There's more to life than GDP

In many spheres, technologies that can affect major savings are already at hand. The Integrated Energy Policy...

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Composition of aggregate demand in India

Interesting trends in aggregate demand from the Economic Survey 2008-09 1. The slowdown has taken a massive hit on the private consumption whose contribution to GDP growth halved from 53.8% of GDP in 2007-08 to 27% in 2008-09, while that of government has shot four fold from 8% to 32.5% in the same period. There is another disconcerting longer term trend here, as the share of private consumption has...

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Letters to the editor : The growth question

In the Emerging Markets Forum 2009 meeting, think-tanks debated whether India can post higher GDP growth than China. Although answers were mostly in the positive, one question remains: would India's current policies help poverty alleviation, especially in rural areas?

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Low deficit, 11 priorities put Pranab on tight rope

Finance minister Pranab Mukherjee has set himself a basket of 11 priorities to address in the first Budget of the new government. This includes an at least 4% growth rate for agriculture, increasing investment in infrastructure to more than 9% within the next five years, and an integrated energy policy, besides a direct assistance to the poor to create a social safety net. Latest estimates of government...

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IntegrityFX Daily Intermarket Outlook

IntegrityFX Daily Intermarket Outlook - integrityfx

The markets are at a pivotal junction at this point in time. The confidence in the global recovery plan seems to be waning, taking the positive market sentiment with it. One of the primary causes to this shift in sentiment is the falling interest in foreign countries purchasing US treasuries. So, the widely held belief is that if the US cannot fund its massive debts the world economy cannot recover.