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Power Line (Free subscription) | 19/05/2008
The United Kingdom represents an interesting parallel to what is happening in our election season. In the U.K., the Labour party has been in power since 1997, when Tony Blair crushed John Major. British voters are now heartily sick of the Labourites, and recent polls show the Conservative Party leading Labour by twenty points, with the Tories at 45%, Labour at 25%, and the Liberal Democrats at 18%....
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politicalbetting.com (Free subscription) | 18/05/2008
Graphics - News of the World Can it get any worse for Gordon? Reproduced above are the graphics that appear in this morning’s News of the World showing the key numbers from its ICM survey of Crewe and Nantwich voter ahead of next Thursday's crucial by election. Given that a week ago the same pollster was [...]
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Shuggy's Blog (Free subscription) | 19/05/2008
It may be too late anyway and I doubt it would be a decisive variable but if you're a Labour activist and you are determined to make the party's prospects at the next election more dire than they are already, you could always take up the 'Tory toff' line that the local party are apparently pushing in Crewe and Nantwich . This is profoundly wrong-headed for at least two reasons: 1) Please don't make...
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Tangled Blog (Free subscription) | 18/05/2008
The bad news just keeps on coming for UK PM Gordon Brown! With last week’s £2.7 billion tax cut bribe and a raft of new measures in the draft Queen's speech Brown hoped to improve his standing but the latest opinion survey of more than 1,800 people by YouGov gives David Cameron's Conservatives a 20-point lead over Labour, UP four points on last month. This suggests the Tories are establishing commanding...
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ORDOVICIUS (Free subscription) | 20/05/2008
Labour support is in freefall, according to a Guardian/ICM poll published today . It shows that the party's position - 14 points behind the Conservatives - is worse than at any time since May 1987, just before Margaret Thatcher won her third election by a landslide: Public confidence in Labour's ability to govern has dropped heavily on a series of key measures. Voters are also turning their back on...
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ConservativeHome's Seats & Candidat (Free subscription) | 18/05/2008
Pasted below is a selection of Labour's Crewe literature as discovered on the 'By-Elections Blogspot'. The leaflet at the top focuses on Alistair Darling's tax u-turn but an ICM poll for the News of the World suggests the voters of...
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Not a sheep (Free subscription) | 19/05/2008
Gordon Brown's £2.7 billion bribe appears to have failed. The News of The World reported yesterday that: A "poll also reveals almost half of voters think Brown's £2.7billion giveaway this week to compensate for scrapping the 10p tax rate was the RIGHT thing to do—but 59 per cent say it's still a BRIBE. And an astonishing one in four say it has made them even LESS likely to vote Labour on Thursday....
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politicalbetting.com (Free subscription) | 19/05/2008
Is there anything that Brown can do to turn thing round? The May ICM national voting intention survey for the Guardian is just out and records what is the firm's biggest Labour deficit of modern times - and is in line with the trend of other recent polls. The figures, with changes on the last ICM poll [...]
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Daily Referendum (Free subscription) | 17/05/2008
From the Sunday Times : The latest YouGov poll for the Sunday Times makes depressing reading for Gordon Brown ahead of the coming week’s key by-election test in Crewe & Nantwich . The Tories have a 20-point national poll lead, up from 16 a month ago. Labour is on just 25% of the vote (down 2), with the Tories at 45% (up 2) and the Liberal Democrats on 18%, also up 2. David Cameron is beginning to move...
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Despatch Blog (Free subscription) | 20/05/2008
This morning’s ICM poll in the Guardian shows Labour down 7 points to 27. Its lowest share of the vote since the organisation started polling in 1984. What's worse for the Government is that they are now 14 points behind the Tories and only 5 ahead of the Liberal Democrats (up 3 at 22%) – the smallest gap between Labour and the Lib Dems since the third party was founded in 1988. But is this a government...
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Jo Christie-Smith (Free subscription) | 20/05/2008
Today, I have starting to see evidence of a real narrative being built up by Nick . As the Free Think Blog mentions , Nick has been all over the papers like a rash today. And in his article in The Independent at last creates a story that will resonate with voters! Hoo-bloody-ray!!! It has been some time since the bloggers interview of Nick Clegg that I attended; I have to be truth had other things...
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Jon Worth (Free subscription) | 20/05/2008
‘Well, he would say that wouldn't he’ will surely be the reaction (if anyone does bother reacting) to Nick Clegg’s article in today's Independent about the state of British democracy. But just read it. British politics is archaic, out of touch, and badly in need of reform (as I’ve previously argued), and Clegg has some [...]
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Daily Referendum (Free subscription) | 18/05/2008
A poll carried out for The News of the World puts the Conservatives eight points ahead of Labour in the Crewe & Nantwich by-election. This morning David Davis told Andrew Marr : "We have got a 7,000 majority to overturn. "We haven't won a by-election from Labour in 30 years. But we are pulling out all the stops." Conservatives 45% Labour 37% LibDems 14% How will the main parties perform in the Crewe...
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ConservativeHome (Free subscription) | 20/05/2008
Seats and candidates: Tories 13% ahead in Crewe and Nantwich Philip Hammond MP on Platform: The Conservative path to lower taxes and high quality public services Three new videos: Rory Bremner's Gordon Brown struggles to find the exit Iain Dale,...
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ConservativeHome's ToryDiary (Free subscription) | 17/05/2008
Not quite 26% but a YouGov survey for The Sunday Times has the Conservatives on 45%, Labour on 25% and the LibDems on 18%. Voters have given a thumbs down to the £2.7bn U-turn: "Just 23% think the £2.7 billion...